Is The Santa Claus Rally The Gift That Keeps Giving?
Remember the horror of 2008 when the Great Recession hit…
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NATL Quote, Financials, Valuation and Earnings
Last price:
$34.12
Seasonality move
:
-13.41%
Day range:
$33.53 - $34.21
52-week range:
$18.42 - $35.29
Dividend yield:
0%
P/E ratio:
--
P/S ratio:
0.58x
P/B ratio:
9.39x
Volume:
142.7K
Avg. volume:
547.8K
1-year change:
34.46%
Market cap:
$2.5B
Revenue:
$4.2B
EPS (TTM):
-$1.68
| Period Ending | 2019-12-31 | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -- | $3B | $3.5B | $4.1B | $4.2B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | 18.66% | 16.4% | 1.45% | |
| Cost of Revenues | -- | $2.3B | $2.7B | $3.2B | $3.3B | |
| Gross Profit | -- | $670M | $892M | $919M | $933M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | 22.4% | 25.13% | 22.25% | 22.26% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | $87M | $107M | $64M | $77M | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | $367M | $537M | $586M | $585M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -- | $30M | $52M | -$81M | -$74M | |
| Operating Expenses | -- | $454M | $644M | $650M | $662M | |
| Operating Income | -- | $216M | $248M | $269M | $271M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | $6M | $49M | $31M | $90M | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | -- | $240M | $251M | $157M | $107M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | -- | $48M | $64M | $50M | $239M | |
| Net Income to Company | -- | $192M | $187M | $107M | -$132M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -$1M | -$1M | $1M | -$2M | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | -- | $191M | $186M | $108M | -$134M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | $2.71 | $2.63 | $1.53 | -$1.90 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | $2.71 | $2.63 | $1.53 | -$1.90 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | -- | $70.6M | $70.6M | $70.6M | $70.6M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | -- | $70.6M | $70.6M | $70.6M | $70.6M | |
| EBITDA | -- | $279M | $459M | $447M | $451M | |
| EBIT | -- | $246M | $300M | $188M | $197M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | -- | $3B | $3.5B | $4.1B | $4.2B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | -- | $216M | $248M | $269M | $271M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | -- | $246M | $300M | $188M | $197M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -- | -- | $1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | 3.59% | 1.03% | |
| Cost of Revenues | -- | -- | $789M | $799M | $816M | |
| Gross Profit | -- | -- | $241M | $268M | $262M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | 23.4% | 25.12% | 24.3% | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | $7M | $17M | $16M | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | $127M | $153M | $122M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -- | -- | -$1M | -$2M | -$5M | |
| Operating Expenses | -- | -- | $134M | $170M | $138M | |
| Operating Income | -- | -- | $107M | $98M | $124M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | $6M | $6M | $82M | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | -- | -- | $100M | $90M | $37M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | -- | -- | $36M | $147M | $14M | |
| Net Income to Company | -- | -- | $64M | -$57M | $23M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -- | -$1M | $1M | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | -- | -- | $64M | -$58M | $24M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | $0.91 | -$0.82 | $0.33 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | $0.91 | -$0.82 | $0.32 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | -- | -- | $70.6M | $70.4M | $72.3M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | -- | -- | $70.6M | $70.4M | $74.5M | |
| EBITDA | -- | -- | $173M | $159M | $190M | |
| EBIT | -- | -- | $106M | $96M | $116M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | -- | -- | $1B | $1.1B | $1.1B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | -- | -- | $107M | $98M | $124M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | -- | -- | $106M | $96M | $116M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -- | -- | -- | $4.2B | $4.3B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | -- | -- | -- | $3.2B | $3.4B | |
| Gross Profit | -- | -- | -- | $977M | $934M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | -- | $66M | $70M | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | -- | $585M | $527M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -- | -- | -$8M | -$75M | -$73M | |
| Operating Expenses | -- | -- | -- | $651M | $597M | |
| Operating Income | -- | -- | -- | $326M | $337M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | $23M | $23M | $319M | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | -- | -- | -- | $228M | -$55M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | -- | -- | -- | $191M | $66M | |
| Net Income to Company | -- | -- | -- | $37M | -$121M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -$1M | $1M | $1M | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | -- | -- | -- | $38M | -$120M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | -- | $0.54 | -$1.66 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | -- | $0.54 | -$1.68 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| EBITDA | -- | -- | -- | $502M | $546M | |
| EBIT | -- | -- | -- | $251M | $257M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | -- | -- | -- | $4.2B | $4.3B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | -- | -- | -- | $326M | $337M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | -- | -- | -- | $251M | $257M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | -- | -- | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.2B | |
| Revenue Growth (YoY) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Cost of Revenues | -- | -- | $2.4B | $2.4B | $2.5B | |
| Gross Profit | -- | -- | $677M | $735M | $736M | |
| Gross Profit Margin | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| R&D Expenses | -- | -- | $52M | $54M | $47M | |
| Selling, General & Admin | -- | -- | $438M | $433M | $375M | |
| Other Inc / (Exp) | -- | -- | -$8M | -$6M | -$5M | |
| Operating Expenses | -- | -- | $490M | $487M | $422M | |
| Operating Income | -- | -- | $187M | $248M | $314M | |
| Net Interest Expenses | -- | -- | $23M | $15M | $244M | |
| EBT. Incl. Unusual Items | -- | -- | $156M | $227M | $65M | |
| Earnings of Discontinued Ops. | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Income Tax Expense | -- | -- | $54M | $195M | $22M | |
| Net Income to Company | -- | -- | $102M | $32M | $43M | |
| Minority Interest in Earnings | -- | -- | -$1M | -$1M | $2M | |
| Net Income to Common Excl Extra Items | -- | -- | $101M | $31M | $45M | |
| Basic EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | $1.43 | $0.44 | $0.62 | |
| Diluted EPS (Cont. Ops) | -- | -- | $1.43 | $0.44 | $0.60 | |
| Weighted Average Basic Share | -- | -- | $211.8M | $211.6M | $216.1M | |
| Weighted Average Diluted Share | -- | -- | $211.8M | $211.6M | $219.8M | |
| EBITDA | -- | -- | $370M | $425M | $520M | |
| EBIT | -- | -- | $179M | $242M | $302M | |
| Revenue (Reported) | -- | -- | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.2B | |
| Operating Income (Reported) | -- | -- | $187M | $248M | $314M | |
| Operating Income (Adjusted) | -- | -- | $179M | $242M | $302M | |
| Period Ending | 2019-12-31 | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | -- | -- | $238M | $293M | $339M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | -- | -- | $399M | $455M | $714M | |
| Inventory | -- | -- | $467M | $419M | $333M | |
| Prepaid Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | -- | -- | $204M | $231M | $271M | |
| Total Current Assets | -- | -- | $1.6B | $1.6B | $1.9B | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | -- | -- | $528M | $497M | $614M | |
| Long-Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Goodwill | -- | -- | $1.9B | $1.9B | $2B | |
| Other Intangibles | -- | -- | $815M | $729M | $635M | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | -- | -- | $88M | $123M | $173M | |
| Total Assets | -- | -- | $5.6B | $5.8B | $5.7B | |
| Accounts Payable | -- | -- | $389M | $350M | $500M | |
| Accrued Expenses | -- | -- | $120M | $69M | $151M | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | $208M | $108M | $76M | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | -- | $541M | $473M | $695M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | -- | -- | $1.6B | $1.4B | $1.7B | |
| Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | $1.2B | $717M | $2.9B | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | -- | -- | $3.2B | $2.5B | $5.5B | |
| Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | $1M | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -- | -- | -$98M | -$63M | $86M | |
| Common Equity | -- | -- | $2.3B | $3.3B | $284M | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | -- | -- | $3M | -$1M | $3M | |
| Total Equity | -- | -- | $2.3B | $3.3B | $287M | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | -- | -- | $5.6B | $5.8B | $5.7B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | -- | -- | $238M | $293M | $339M | |
| Total Debt | -- | -- | $1.4B | $825M | $3B | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and Equivalents | -- | -- | -- | $423M | $395M | |
| Short Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Accounts Receivable, Net | -- | -- | -- | $428M | $623M | |
| Inventory | -- | -- | -- | $431M | $351M | |
| Prepaid Expenses | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Assets | -- | -- | -- | $306M | $283M | |
| Total Current Assets | -- | -- | -- | $1.9B | $1.9B | |
| Property Plant And Equipment | -- | -- | -- | $573M | $592M | |
| Long-Term Investments | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Goodwill | -- | -- | -- | $2B | $2B | |
| Other Intangibles | -- | -- | -- | $653M | $583M | |
| Other Long-Term Assets | -- | -- | -- | $2.2B | $165M | |
| Total Assets | -- | -- | -- | $8.3B | $5.7B | |
| Accounts Payable | -- | -- | -- | $375M | $545M | |
| Accrued Expenses | -- | -- | -- | $150M | $152M | |
| Current Portion Of Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | $132M | $88M | |
| Current Portion Of Capital Lease Obligations | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Current Liabilities | -- | -- | -- | $551M | $710M | |
| Total Current Liabilities | -- | -- | -- | $1.6B | $1.8B | |
| Long-Term Debt | -- | -- | -- | $2.3B | $2.9B | |
| Capital Leases | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Liabilities | -- | -- | -- | $4.7B | $5.5B | |
| Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | $1M | |
| Other Common Equity Adj | -- | -- | -- | -$38M | $41M | |
| Common Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Total Preferred Equity | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Minority Interest, Total | -- | -- | -- | -- | -$2M | |
| Total Equity | -- | -- | -- | $3.6B | $262M | |
| Total Liabilities and Equity | -- | -- | -- | $8.3B | $5.7B | |
| Cash and Short Terms | -- | -- | -- | $423M | $395M | |
| Total Debt | -- | -- | -- | $2.5B | $3B | |
| Period Ending | 2019-12-31 | 2020-12-31 | 2021-12-31 | 2022-12-31 | 2023-12-31 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | -- | $192M | $187M | $107M | -$132M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | -- | $33M | $159M | $259M | $254M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | $48M | $82M | $66M | $68M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | $159M | $70M | -$78M | -$52M | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | $81M | -$136M | -$10M | $53M | |
| Cash From Operations | -- | $410M | $449M | $274M | $355M | |
| Capital Expenditures | -- | $30M | $111M | $97M | $132M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | -$2.3B | -$78M | -$1M | |
| Cash From Investing | -- | -$60M | -$2.5B | -$417M | -$316M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | $25M | $1.2B | $68M | $3.6B | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -$23M | -$10M | -$606M | -$490M | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -$340M | $1.2B | $721M | -$3.1B | |
| Cash From Financing | -- | -$338M | $2.3B | $183M | $31M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | $178M | $170M | $470M | $499M | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | -- | $12M | $301M | $40M | $70M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | $170M | $470M | $499M | $586M | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | -- | $380M | $338M | $177M | $223M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | -- | -- | $64M | -$57M | $23M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | -- | -- | $67M | $63M | $74M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | $14M | $12M | $9M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -$28M | $22M | $90M | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | $13M | -$20M | -$28M | |
| Cash From Operations | -- | -- | $226M | $147M | $107M | |
| Capital Expenditures | -- | -- | $36M | $48M | $38M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | -$11M | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -- | -- | -$97M | -$254M | -$39M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | $56M | $2.2B | $386M | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -$35M | -$258M | -$401M | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | -$65M | $315M | -$6M | |
| Cash From Financing | -- | -- | -$44M | $2.3B | -$19M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | -- | $453M | $565M | $630M | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -$36M | $13M | $5M | |
| Additions / Reductions | -- | -- | $85M | $2.2B | $49M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | -- | $502M | $2.7B | $684M | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | -- | -- | $190M | $99M | $69M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | -- | -- | -- | $37M | -$121M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | -- | -- | -- | $251M | $289M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | $51M | $60M | $51M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -- | $57M | -$12M | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -- | $14M | $11M | |
| Cash From Operations | -- | -- | -- | $380M | $272M | |
| Capital Expenditures | -- | -- | $70M | $112M | $155M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | -$78M | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -- | -- | -- | -$311M | -$157M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | ||||||
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | -- | $2B | $2.3B | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -- | -$254M | -$1.1B | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | -- | $324M | -$3.4B | |
| Cash From Financing | -- | -- | -- | $2.1B | -$2.1B | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Additions / Reductions | -- | -- | -- | $2.2B | -$2B | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | -- | -- | -- | $268M | $117M | |
| Period Ending | 2020-09-30 | 2021-09-30 | 2022-09-30 | 2023-09-30 | 2024-09-30 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income to Stockholders | -- | -- | $102M | $32M | $43M | |
| Depreciation & Amoritzation | -- | -- | $191M | $183M | $218M | |
| Stock-Based Compensation | -- | -- | $51M | $45M | $28M | |
| Change in Accounts Receivable | -- | -- | -$96M | $39M | $79M | |
| Change in Inventories | -- | -- | -$59M | -$35M | -$77M | |
| Cash From Operations | -- | -- | $241M | $347M | $264M | |
| Capital Expenditures | -- | -- | $70M | $85M | $108M | |
| Cash Acquisitions | -- | -- | -$78M | -- | -- | |
| Cash From Investing | -- | -- | -$375M | -$269M | -$110M | |
| Dividends Paid (Ex Special Dividend) | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Special Dividend Paid | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Long-Term Debt Issued | -- | -- | $271M | $2.2B | $919M | |
| Long-Term Debt Repaid | -- | -- | -$667M | -$315M | -$950M | |
| Repurchase of Common Stock | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | |
| Other Financing Activities | -- | -- | $623M | $226M | -$21M | |
| Cash From Financing | -- | -- | $227M | $2.1B | -$49M | |
| Beginning Cash (CF) | -- | -- | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.8B | |
| Foreign Exchange Rate Adjustment | -- | -- | -$61M | $24M | -$7M | |
| Additions / Reductions | -- | -- | $93M | $2.2B | $105M | |
| Ending Cash (CF) | -- | -- | $1.4B | $3.8B | $1.9B | |
| Levered Free Cash Flow | -- | -- | $171M | $262M | $156M | |
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Financial Ratios
NATL
Sector
P/E ratio
--
12.03x
PEG ratio
--
0.36x
P/B ratio
9.39x
1.06x
Price / LTM sales
0.58x
2.58x
Growth Metrics
NATL
Sector
Revenue growth
1.03%
6.06%
Earnings growth
-48.05%
6.45%
Revenue (5-year growth)
--
5.85%
Earnings forecast
$0.79
$0.56
Profitability
NATL
Sector
Profitability FY 2023
$933M
$179.9M
Return on invested capital
-3.14%
5.27%
Return on assets
-1.92%
0.98%
Return on equity
-12.83%
9.43%
Earnings Date
Last Earnings Date
Nov
12
Next Earnings Date
Feb
14
Estimated Next Earnings Date
Feb
11
Balance Sheet
NATL
Sector
Total cash
$395M
$617M
Short term investments
--
$407.4M
Total assets
$5.7B
$4.5B
Long term debt
$3B
$270.8M
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